Wednesday, February 3, 2010

ESR on Naming and Shaming the AGW fanatics

Well said, good explanation of the AGW crowd.

Armed and Dangerous » Blog Archive » Naming and shaming the AGW fraudsters
James Delingpole, in Climategate: Time for the Tumbrils, noting the public collapse in credibility of AGW “science” utters a fine rant summed up in this wise (parochial references to British political figures and organizations omitted):

I’m in no mood for being magnanimous in victory. I want the lying, cheating, fraudulent scientists prosecuted and fined or imprisoned. I want warmist politicians booted out and I want fellow-travellers who are still pushing this green con trick to be punished at the polls for their culpable idiocy.

For years I’ve been made to feel a pariah for my views on AGW. Now it’s payback time and I take small satisfaction from seeing so many rats deserting their sinking ship. I don’t want them on my side. I want to see them in hell, reliving scenes from Hieronymus Bosch.

I too long to see the frauds and the fellow-travellers in the hell they’ve earned for themselves. But revenge, while it’s a tasty dish that long-time public “deniers” like Delingpole and myself are now thoroughly enjoying, isn’t the best reason to hound them and their enabling organizations out of public life. The best reason not to relent, to name and shame the fraudsters and shatter their reputations and humilate them — ideally, to the point where there’s a rash of prominent suicides as a result — is this:

If we don’t destroy them, they’ll surely ramp up yet another colossal, politicized eco-fraud to plague us all.

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

More Climategate fallout, this time from the UK Guardian

Here's another story about (probably fraudulent, certainly unverifiable) data being used in a now-discredited story that forms one of the cornerstones of the rapidly-crumbling AGW edifice:

Chinese Urbanization Study | Climate Skeptic
Why it matters

The Guardian writes:

[I]t is important to keep this in perspective, however. This dramatic revision of the estimated impact of urbanisation on temperatures in China does not change the global picture of temperature trends. There is plenty of evidence of global warming, not least from oceans far from urban influences.

This is correct. Further, it is absurd to deny the world has warmed over the last 150 years as the little ice age of the 17th and 18th centuries was one of the coldest periods in thousands of years, and thus it is totally natural that we have seen warming in recovery from these frigid times.

But here is what it is important to understand: The real debate between skeptics and alarmists is not over whether the Earth has warmed over the last century or whether CO2 from man contributes incrementally to warming. The real debate is over whether the climate’s sensitivity to CO2 is high or low. Skeptics like me argue for low sensitivity, on the order of 0.5-1.0C per doubling once all feedbacks are taken in to account. Alarmists argue for numbers 3C and higher.

The problem alarmists have is that it is very, very difficult to reconcile past warming to high-sensitivity forecasts. It takes a lot of mathematical contortions, from time-delays to cooling aerosols to ignoring ocean cycles and natural recovery from the little ice age to make the numbers reconcile. Halving the actual historic warming by attributing the other half to measurement biases makes it even, uh, more impossible to reconcile high sensitivity models to actual history.

Reason series on Climategate - Update 1: The China Syndrome

Climategate Update 1: The China Syndrome* - Hit & Run : Reason Magazine
Climategate just gets more interesting all the time doesn't it? The Guardian is reporting that the Climatic Research Unit (the U.K. research group at the center of the Climategate affair) has somehow lost critical temperature data again, in this case data from Chinese weather stations that are supposed to prove that the urban heat island effect accounts for a neglible portion of the warming trend found in temperature records. The abstract for the study published in 1990 in Nature reads:

Read the rest of the Reason article at the link above.
In any case, Phil Jones and the CRU crowd are in the process of finding out the truth of the old adage, "It's not the crime, it's the cover up" that eventually brings someone down.

Monday, February 1, 2010

Surprise, surprise, CO2 increase may cause COOLING ....

» Study: Earth Self-Regulation Discovery may make Carbon Credits, Etc. Irrelevant Dvorak Uncensored: General interest observations and true web-log.
Despite the apparent bias of many climate researchers, they do have one thing right; carbon levels have risen notably over the twentieth century from about 300 ppm to 375 ppm. While still far from the estimated levels of around 3,000 ppm during the time of the dinosaurs (appr. 150 MYA), the rising levels do mark a legitimate trend. However, there is increasing evidence that the rising carbon, contrary to alarmist reports is actually having remarkably little effect on global temperatures.

A new study authored by Susan Solomon, lead author of the study and a researcher at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Boulder, Colo. could explain why atmospheric carbon is not contributing to warming significantly. According to the study, as carbon levels have risen, the cold air at high altitudes over the tropics has actually grown colder. The lower temperatures at this “coldest point” have caused global water vapor levels to drop, even as carbon levels rise.

Water vapor helps trap heat, and is a far the strongest of the major greenhouse gases, contributing 36–72 percent of the greenhouse effect. However more atmospheric carbon has actually decreased water vapor levels. Thus rather than a “doomsday” cycle of runaway warming, Mother Earth appears surprisingly tolerant of carbon, decreasing atmospheric levels of water vapor — a more effective greenhouse gas — to compensate.

Describes Professor Solomon, “There is slow warming that has taken place over the last 100 years. But from one decade to another, there can be fluctuations in the warming trend.”

The study was published in the prestigious journal Science.

Saturday, January 30, 2010

The Sun Also Flares

And now for something completely different -- sort of.  Maybe the Mormons are right -- stockpile enough supplies to survive for a year independently. If a solar flare of the magnitude of the "Carrington Event" were to occur tomorrow, the world would be in Serious Trouble ...

Cliff May : The Sun Also Flares - Townhall.com
The strongest solar storm on record is the Carrington Event of 1859, named after Richard Carrington, an astronomer who witnessed the super solar flare that set off the event as he was projecting an image of the sun on a white screen. In those days, of course, there was nothing much to damage. A high-intensity burst of electro-magnetic energy shot through telegraph lines, disrupting communications, shocking technicians and setting their papers on fire. Northern Lights were visible as far south as Cuba and Hawaii. But otherwise life went on as normal.

The same would not be true were a solar storm of similar magnitude to erupt today. Instead, the infrastructure we depend on would be wiped out. Most of us would not adapt well to this sudden return to a pre-industrial age.

How likely is a repeat of the Carrington Event? Scientists say it is not only possible -- it is inevitable. What they don't know is when. The best estimates are that super solar storms occur once every 100 years - which means we are 50 years overdue.

Both the Wikipedia page and the NASA page on the Carrington Event suggest that such events are twice-a-millenium events, or once every 500 years, not once a century according to the Townhall.com "report". I guess it's just another life-gamble: should I worry about surviving a once-in-10-lifetimes event or should I just live like a grasshopper?

Thursday, January 28, 2010

Stray animals and welfare recipients ....

dispatches from TJICistan » Blog Archive » offense intended
The main difference between welfare recipients and stray animals is that there’s actual demand for stray animals.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Google and WIkipedia collude to hide "Climategate" data

Fascinating blog post with some very convincing links comparing Google searches for "Climategate" to Bing searches for the same thing.  Disturbing, to say the least ...

Climate Observer: Those Who Control The Information Try To Control The Debate.
The rise and exposure of Climategate did more than just show the email correspondence of a few climate scientists who were determined to shut down dissent, manipulate the peer review process hide or destroy information requested under FOI, hide their mistakes, etc, etc. They also exposed the bias of information sources like Wikipedia (as we have seen before), as well as exposing the bias of Google as a web browser. National Post journalist Lawrence Solomon investigated these phenomenon and this is what he found: In the first article entitled Wikipedia's Climate Doctor we find:

The Climategate Emails describe how a small band of climatologists cooked the books to make the last century seem dangerously warm.

...The Climategate Emails reveal something else, too: the enlistment of the most widely read source of information in the world — Wikipedia — in the wholesale rewriting of this history.

... This bias by Wikipedia was not isolated. In fact the Google readjustment (read hiding) of the
number of articles referring to Climategate became known as
"Googlegate," such was the level of interference. In Solomon's article Better off with Bing he writes:

This week,
Google announced an end to its long-standing collaboration with the
Chinese Communists — it will no longer censor users inside China.


That’s good of it. Maybe Google will now also stop using its search engine to censor the rest of us, in the Western countries.

Search for “Googlegate” on Google and you’ll get a paltry result (my result yesterday was 29,300). Search for “Googlegate” on Bing,
Microsoft’s search engine competitor, and the result numbers an
eye-popping 72.4 million. If you’re a regular Google user, as opposed
to a Bing user, you might not even know that “Googlegate” has been a
hot topic for years in the blogosphere — that’s the power that comes of
being able to control information.

Despite Google’s
motto of “Do No Evil,” it has long been controversial and suspected of
evil-doing — and not just in its cooperation with China, or in
protecting itself by hiding criticism of itself from unsuspecting
Google users. In recent months,
most of the evil-doing has focused on the Climategate scandal, the
startling emails from the Climate Research Unit in the UK that show
climate change scientists to be cooking the books.


For
many weeks now, readers have been sending me emails describing how
Google has been doing its best to hide information relating to
Climategate, which has been the single biggest story on the Internet
since the Climategate emails came to light on November 19.
By
Nov. 26, the term had gone viral and Google returned more results for
“climategate” (10.4 million) than for “global warming” (10.1 million).
As the Climate Scandal exploded, and increasing numbers of blog sites
covered it, the number of web pages with Climategate continued to
climb. On Dec. 7, Google’s search engine found 31.6 million hits for
people who searched for “Climategate.”

Sometime
around then, in early December, Google began to minimize the
Climategate scandal by hiding Climategate pages from its users. By Dec.
17, the number of climategate pages that a Google search found dropped
by almost 10 million, to 22.2 million. One day later Google dropped its
find by another 8 million pages, to 14.1 million. By Dec. 23, Google
could find only 7.5 million hits and on Dec. 24 just 6 million. And
yesterday, when I checked, Google reported a mere 1.8 million
climategate pages.
See Here.

Bing,
in contrast, didn’t make climategate pages disappear. As you’d expect
from a search engine that wasn’t manipulating data, search results on
Bing climbed steadily until they peaked at around 51 million, where
they have remained since. See Here

Starting
in late November, Google has been keeping the public in the dark about
Climategate in other ways, too. Ordinarily, when people begin keying in
their search terms, Google helpfully suggests the balance of their
text, through an automatic feature it calls Google Suggests.

At
the very beginning of the Climategate scandal, before it became huge,
Google Suggests worked as advertised. If someone typed in c-l-i-,
Google would have shown them “climategate” on a list of options. Many
people, in fact, learned about Climategate this very way, because most
major media outlets had not yet picked up on the scandal. As
Climategate rose in intensity, the term also rose in prominence on the
Google Suggest list — anyone keying in c-l-i would see “climategate” at
the top of the list.

But
suddenly in late November, for reasons known only to Google, Google
often would not suggest “climategate” to those who keyed in c-l-i. Even
c-l-i-m-a or c-l-i-m-a-t-e-g-a-t weren’t enough to solicit a suggestion.

Bing, in contrast, did not and does not steer users away from
climategate — it has consistently suggested “climategate” to those who
keyed in c-l-i or even c-l.

For those whom Google can’t steer
away from “climategate,” and who key in all 11 letters to learn about
the eye-opening emails, Google goes the extra yard in keeping people in
the dark — it dishes up a page that trivializes the scientific
significance of climategate. Those who click on Google’s “I’m feeling lucky” after asking for “climategate” find themselves on a Wikipedia page entitled “Climatic Research Unit hacking incident” that
downplays the content of the emails and focuses on the “unauthorised
release of thousands of emails and other documents obtained through the
hacking of a server,” the “illegal taking of data,” the “Law
enforcement agencies [that] are investigating the matter as a crime,”
and “the death threats that were subsequently made against climate
scientists named in the emails.”


For those who don’t
use Google’s “I’m feeling lucky” feature, Google presents them with
this one-sided Wikipedia page as the first item in its search results.
Wikipedia actually has a page called “Climategate” that contains
damning information about the scientists caught up in the scandal but
its own censors won’t let the public see it — anyone who tries to key
in “Climategate” on the Wikipedia site will be instantly redirected to
the Wikipedia-approved version of climategate, where the scandal is
described as nothing more than “a smear campaign.”

Why would Google want to tamp down interest in climategate? Money and power could have something to do with it. Search
for Google and its founders and you’ll see that they have made big
financial bets on global warming through investments in renewable and
other green technologies; that they have a close relationship with Al Gore, that Google CEO Eric Schmidt is close to Barack Obama.


But search for Googlegate and you’ll also see that more than money is at stake. The
accusations against Google of censorship are wide-spread, involving
schemes to elect Barack Obama, attacks on Christianity (key in
“Christianity is” and Google will suggest unflattering completions to
the phrase), and political correctness (key in “Islam is” and nothing
negative is suggested).


The bottom line? Google is as
inscrutable as the Chinese, and perhaps no less corrupt. For safe
searches, you’re best off with Bing.

So,
the tentacles of climategate go beyond influencing the temperature
records of countries all round the world, to include influence over
major information sources such as Wikipedia (by having someone inside
do the gate keeping) to Google by their external relationship to Gore
and to members of his former political party. Is it any wonder that
some people either still have not heard of Climategate or have no idea
as to the depths of manipulation they are being subject to on a daily
basis.